Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.037795 0.040877 0.044116 0.047778 0.051809 0.056118 0.061080
2025-02-23 0.032942 0.037308 0.042155 0.047956 0.054737 0.062445 0.071918
2025-03-02 0.029660 0.034764 0.040670 0.048051 0.057091 0.067880 0.081850
2025-03-09 0.026847 0.032327 0.038877 0.047355 0.058138 0.071534 0.089653
2025-03-16 0.024491 0.030156 0.037113 0.046385 0.058563 0.074224 0.096227
2025-03-23 0.022759 0.028579 0.035901 0.045917 0.059460 0.077431 0.103582
2025-03-30 0.021293 0.027209 0.034814 0.045462 0.060245 0.080431 0.110775
2025-04-06 0.019839 0.025741 0.033472 0.044523 0.060229 0.082237 0.116307
2025-04-13 0.019075 0.025134 0.033220 0.045027 0.062214 0.086947 0.126429
2025-04-20 0.018217 0.024335 0.032642 0.045004 0.063396 0.090518 0.135063
2025-04-27 0.017638 0.023882 0.032504 0.045580 0.065463 0.095512 0.146311
2025-05-04 0.016856 0.023094 0.031835 0.045316 0.066215 0.098501 0.154521
2025-05-11 0.016150 0.022386 0.031252 0.045155 0.067126 0.101829 0.163653
2025-05-18 0.015439 0.021634 0.030562 0.044780 0.067665 0.104578 0.172023
2025-05-25 0.014875 0.021068 0.030113 0.044744 0.068726 0.108235 0.182300
2025-06-01 0.014191 0.020288 0.029300 0.044077 0.068693 0.110019 0.189301
2025-06-08 0.013499 0.019466 0.028380 0.043180 0.068208 0.110966 0.194786
2025-06-15 0.012968 0.018864 0.027770 0.042749 0.068473 0.113228 0.202962
2025-06-22 0.012475 0.018299 0.027190 0.042331 0.068723 0.115459 0.211258
2025-06-29 0.011914 0.017604 0.026373 0.041469 0.068132 0.116096 0.216377
2025-07-06 0.011675 0.017407 0.026342 0.041932 0.069921 0.121265 0.231307
2025-07-13 0.011348 0.017054 0.026041 0.041911 0.070824 0.124806 0.243143
2025-07-20 0.011150 0.016902 0.026058 0.042439 0.072763 0.130482 0.260186